CVE-2025-48828

CRITICALNVD 9.09.0
EchelonGraph scoreMEDIUM confidence

“—” beside the score: it is equal to NVD's CVSS score.

Score 9.0 from GitHub Security Advisory (severity: CRITICAL) published 2025-05-27. NVD baseline CVSS 9.0; sources differ by 0.0.

Triggered by: GitHub Security Advisory CVSS
Sources: EPSS, GitHub Security Advisory, NVD CVSS v3
Weaponized

Also known asEUVD-2025-28268 (ENISA EUVD) · GHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg (GitHub Security Advisories)Source: ENISA EUVD

9.0EG
EchelonGraph verdictPlan mitigationNo fix is confirmed yet: check with the vendor for a fixed release; until one is applied, restrict network exposure of the affected system on your normal schedule at low or medium mission impact and sooner than that at high (the SSVC decision on this page).
  • High exploitation likelihood — EPSS 57%
  • Public exploit code is available (Metasploit)
CISA-KEV: Not listedEPSS PROB: 57%CVSS: 9.0Exploit: MetasploitExposed services: Not assessed

No fix is confirmed yet — apply a workaround or compensating control (WAF / firewall / segmentation) and watch for the fix.

Certain vBulletin versions might allow attackers to execute arbitrary PHP code by abusing Template Conditionals in the template engine. By crafting template code in an alternative PHP function invocation syntax, such as the "var_dump"("test") syntax, attackers can bypass security checks and execute arbitrary PHP code, as exploited in the wild in May 2025.

CVSS v3
9.0
EG Score
9.0CRITICALmedium confidence
EG Risk
67
EG Risk 67/100

EG Risk is EchelonGraph's 0–100 priority score. It fuses impact severity (EG Severity, the CVSS base score, never the KEV-floored or EPSS-lifted EG Score) with real-world exploitation and automatability, under weights EchelonGraph set by hand, so you can rank equal-severity CVEs and fix the most dangerous first. Higher = act sooner.

How it’s computed (value × EchelonGraph’s weight)
Severity90% × 45%
Impact severity (EG Severity): CVSS 9.0 of 10. Never the KEV-floored or EPSS-lifted EG Score.
Exploitation65% × 40%
EchelonGraph's fixed weight for EG-KEV Tier 2 (Weaponized): a constant, not a probability.
Automatability0% × 15%
CISA's SSVC Automatable value: no (Vulnrichment).
SSVC (CISA's decision table, applied by EchelonGraph): Track at low, Track* at medium and Attend at high mission impact.
Exploitation public PoC (CISA Vulnrichment) · Automatable no (CISA Vulnrichment) · Technical impact total (CISA Vulnrichment). All three are CISA's SSVC values (Vulnrichment). EchelonGraph applied CISA's decision table to them; CISA publishes SSVC inputs and the table, not a decision for each CVE.
Action: No fix is confirmed yet. Check with the vendor for a fixed release; until one is applied, restrict network exposure of the affected system on your normal schedule at low or medium mission impact and sooner than that at high.
EPSS PROB
57%
EPSS %ILE
99th
KEV
Not listed

What the EG score is made of (scorer v4.0: the three questions the 0–10 score mixes, published apart · methodology)

The EG score (9.0): severity, escalated by confirmed exploitation. This CVE's 9.0 is its impact severity (EG Severity), not escalated.

EG Severity
9.0 CRITICALCVSS-B, impact only: no KEV listing, EPSS or EG-KEV tier raises it.GitHub Security Advisory CVSS
EG Likelihood
57% within 30 daysSource: FIRST EPSS (model v2026.06.15, score date 2026-11-12). FIRST's exploitation probability, not an EchelonGraph model.
Confirmed exploitation
None on record (CISA KEV, EG-KEV Tier 1)Reported apart from the likelihood: an observed fact, not a probability.
EG Priority
SSVC Track* at medium mission impactTrack at low, Track* at medium and Attend at high mission impact.CISA BOD 26-04: 14 days if the affected system is publicly exposed; Fix on system upgrade if it is not.No released fix is confirmed on this page, but CISA's timeline does not wait for a fix's release: it starts when an agency identifies the flaw on an asset and updates the CDM Agency and Federal Dashboard, and the directive counts patching, decommissioning the system or another action as remediation. Until a fixed release is applied, mitigate as this page's verdict says. In the directive's words, “Fix on system upgrade” means that, “unless conditions change”, the vulnerability “should be remediated the next time the vulnerable asset receives a scheduled major upgrade or rebuild”: its timelines are “dynamic as facts change”, and a KEV listing shortens them.Each input and its source, and whom BOD 26-04 binds: the SSVC and BOD 26-04 blocks below.

SSVC (CISA's decision table, applied by EchelonGraph)Track at low, Track* at medium and Attend at high mission impact.

No fix is confirmed yet. Check with the vendor for a fixed release; until one is applied, restrict network exposure of the affected system on your normal schedule at low or medium mission impact and sooner than that at high.

Exploitation public PoC (CISA Vulnrichment) · Automatable no (CISA Vulnrichment) · Technical impact total (CISA Vulnrichment). All three are CISA's SSVC values (Vulnrichment). EchelonGraph applied CISA's decision table to them; CISA publishes SSVC inputs and the table, not a decision for each CVE. Mission impact is CISA's Mission & Well-being decision point, and only you can judge it. CISA's table makes it high when Mission Prevalence is Essential — the vulnerable component "directly provides capabilities that constitute at least one MEF for at least one entity" (MEF: mission essential function) — or when Public Well-Being Impact is Irreversible: "multiple fatalities are likely", the cyber-physical system "is likely lost or destroyed", "extreme or serious externalities" are imposed on other parties, or social systems such as elections or the financial grid "are destabilized and potentially collapse". CISA's decision table

BOD 26-04 (CISA's remediation timeline, Table 1)14 days if the affected system is publicly exposed; Fix on system upgrade if it is not.

No released fix is confirmed on this page, but CISA's timeline does not wait for a fix's release: it starts when an agency identifies the flaw on an asset and updates the CDM Agency and Federal Dashboard, and the directive counts patching, decommissioning the system or another action as remediation. Until a fixed release is applied, mitigate as this page's verdict says. In the directive's words, “Fix on system upgrade” means that, “unless conditions change”, the vulnerability “should be remediated the next time the vulnerable asset receives a scheduled major upgrade or rebuild”: its timelines are “dynamic as facts change”, and a KEV listing shortens them.

The score's inputs: In CISA KEV no (CISA's KEV catalog) · Automatable no (CISA Vulnrichment) · Technical impact total (CISA Vulnrichment). Whether your system is publicly exposed is yours to answer. BOD 26-04 binds US Federal Civilian Executive Branch agencies; for anyone else it is CISA's published timeline, a reference rather than an obligation. The directive · how EchelonGraph applies it

Published

May 27, 2025

Last Modified

June 25, 2025

Advisory Details (2)

Auto-updated Jul 24, 2026
No fix on record yet.
Web page

CVE-2025-48828 Exploitation Observed — vBulletin | KEVIntel

https://kevintel.com/CVE-2025-48828
Web page

Don't Call That "Protected" Method: Dissecting an N-Day vBulletin RCE | Karma(In)Security

https://karmainsecurity.com/dont-call-that-protected-method-vbulletin-rce

Weakness Classification(1)

MITRE Common Weakness Enumeration — the root-cause categories this CVE belongs to.

Data Freshness Timeline

(refreshed 12× in last 7d / 53× in last 30d)

Each row is a time one of our pipelines fetched, updated or re-scored this CVE. For example, "NVD update" means NVD published or revised its analysis for this CVE; "MITRE cvelistV5" means we ingested or refreshed its CVE.org record (CNA or CISA ADP). An arrow marks a change the record states ("CVSS v3 → 9.1"); EPSS and GHSA rows show the values recorded at that time, not what changed (EPSS values are rounded; hover one for the exact figures). "EchelonGraph re-scored" is our own recompute of this CVE's score, not an update from a source, and is not counted in the refreshes above. Most recent first.

Showing the most recent 100 of 228 rows on record for this CVE.

A repeat, a row identical to one the same pipeline wrote less than 10 seconds earlier, is not a separate refresh and is not counted. None are among the latest 100 rows. The 128 oldest rows on record are not shown and were not checked, so the counts can still include repeats.

  1. 2026-11-13 07:17 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  2. 2026-11-13 07:17 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  3. 2026-11-12 16:32 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  4. 2026-11-12 05:57 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  5. 2026-11-12 05:57 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  6. 2026-11-11 16:36 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  7. 2026-11-11 04:43 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  8. 2026-11-11 04:43 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  9. 2026-11-10 16:40 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  10. 2026-11-10 03:29 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  11. 2026-11-10 03:29 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  12. 2026-11-09 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  13. 2026-11-09 02:15 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  14. 2026-11-09 02:15 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  15. 2026-11-08 01:02 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  16. 2026-11-08 01:01 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  17. 2026-11-06 23:46 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  18. 2026-11-06 23:46 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  19. 2026-11-06 16:34 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  20. 2026-11-05 22:32 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  21. 2026-11-05 22:32 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  22. 2026-11-05 16:35 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  23. 2026-11-04 21:15 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  24. 2026-11-04 21:15 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  25. 2026-11-04 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
Show 75 more
  1. 2026-11-03 20:01 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  2. 2026-11-03 20:01 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  3. 2026-11-03 16:44 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  4. 2026-11-02 18:47 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  5. 2026-11-02 18:47 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  6. 2026-11-01 17:32 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  7. 2026-11-01 17:32 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  8. 2026-10-31 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  9. 2026-10-31 16:19 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  10. 2026-10-31 16:19 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  11. 2026-10-30 16:32 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  12. 2026-10-30 15:02 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  13. 2026-10-30 15:02 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  14. 2026-10-29 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  15. 2026-10-29 13:48 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  16. 2026-10-29 13:48 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  17. 2026-10-28 16:30 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  18. 2026-10-28 12:32 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  19. 2026-10-28 12:32 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  20. 2026-10-27 16:30 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  21. 2026-10-27 11:18 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  22. 2026-10-27 11:18 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  23. 2026-10-26 10:04 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  24. 2026-10-26 10:04 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  25. 2026-10-25 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  26. 2026-10-25 16:22 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  27. 2026-10-25 08:50 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  28. 2026-10-25 08:50 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  29. 2026-10-24 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  30. 2026-10-24 07:36 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  31. 2026-10-24 07:36 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  32. 2026-10-23 16:30 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 57% · 99th percentile
  33. 2026-10-23 06:22 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  34. 2026-10-23 06:22 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  35. 2026-10-22 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  36. 2026-10-22 05:08 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  37. 2026-10-22 05:08 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  38. 2026-10-21 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  39. 2026-10-21 03:51 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  40. 2026-10-21 03:51 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  41. 2026-10-20 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  42. 2026-10-20 02:38 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  43. 2026-10-20 02:38 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  44. 2026-10-19 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  45. 2026-10-19 01:24 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  46. 2026-10-19 01:23 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  47. 2026-10-18 05:29 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  48. 2026-10-18 00:09 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  49. 2026-10-18 00:09 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  50. 2026-10-17 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  51. 2026-10-16 22:55 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  52. 2026-10-16 22:55 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  53. 2026-10-16 16:38 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  54. 2026-10-15 19:57 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  55. 2026-10-15 19:57 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  56. 2026-10-15 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  57. 2026-10-14 16:31 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  58. 2026-10-14 13:54 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  59. 2026-10-14 13:53 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  60. 2026-10-13 16:32 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  61. 2026-10-13 12:22 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  62. 2026-10-12 17:01 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  63. 2026-10-12 16:33 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  64. 2026-10-12 11:04 UTCGHSA enrichmentGHSA-58pj-rcxg-3vhg · GitHub severity CRITICAL · GitHub CVSS 9.0
  65. 2026-10-11 20:34 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  66. 2026-10-11 18:45 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  67. 2026-10-11 15:21 UTCEchelonGraph re-scored
  68. 2026-10-11 13:47 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  69. 2026-10-10 19:59 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  70. 2026-10-09 20:06 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  71. 2026-10-08 17:10 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  72. 2026-10-07 23:47 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  73. 2026-10-06 15:17 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  74. 2026-10-03 14:24 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile
  75. 2026-10-01 19:49 UTCEPSS rescoreEPSS 58% · 99th percentile

Publicly available exploits

(2 references)

Public exploit code is referenced for this CVE (1 Metasploit module), as is 1 Nuclei detection template. A detection template checks whether a system is affected; it is not necessarily exploit code. No fix is confirmed yet, so defenders should restrict or isolate affected systems accordingly until one is published.

  • Metasploitexploit/multi/http/vbulletin_replace_ad_template_rce✓ verified
    Published Jun 19, 2025

    vBulletin replaceAdTemplate Remote Code Execution

    Open source ↗
  • Nucleihttp/cves/2025/CVE-2025-48828.yaml
    Published Jun 19, 2025

    vBulletin replaceAdTemplate - Remote Code Execution

    Open source ↗

Frequently asked(5)

What is CVE-2025-48828?
CVE-2025-48828 is a critical-severity vulnerability; its CVE record was published on May 27, 2025. Certain vBulletin versions might allow attackers to execute arbitrary PHP code by abusing Template Conditionals in the template engine. By crafting template code in an alternative PHP function invocation syntax, such as the "var_dump"("test") syntax, attackers can bypass security checks and execute…
When was the CVE record for CVE-2025-48828 published?
The CVE record for CVE-2025-48828 was published on May 27, 2025. That is the record's publication date; the vulnerability itself may have been made public earlier. EchelonGraph's copy of the record carries a last-modified date of June 25, 2025; the record at its source may have been updated since.
Is CVE-2025-48828 actively exploited?
CVE-2025-48828 is not currently on CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog. EchelonGraph's EG-KEV model places it in Tier 2 (Weaponized), which is not evidence of exploitation: a Metasploit module exists for it, and CISA's SSVC data says a public PoC exists and its EPSS is 50% or more. EchelonGraph does not test whether exploit code works. FIRST EPSS estimates a 57% probability of exploitation in the next 30 days (99th percentile of EPSS-scored CVEs).
What is the CVSS score of CVE-2025-48828?
CVE-2025-48828 has a CVSS v3 base score of 9.0 (NVD).
How do I remediate CVE-2025-48828?
No fix for CVE-2025-48828 is confirmed yet. Until one is published, restrict network exposure of the affected system — for example, keep it off the internet or limit it to trusted networks — and watch for a fix.

Dependency Blast Radius

Explore the affected products and dependency analysis for CVE-2025-48828

Explore →

Is Your Infrastructure Affected by CVE-2025-48828?

EchelonGraph automatically scans your cloud infrastructure and maps CVE exposure using blast radius analysis.